Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.236595 3.236699e-01 0.426296 0.554073 0.706786 0.881407 1.094081
2025-12-28 0.123141 2.215415e-01 0.358463 0.552968 0.812252 1.136523 1.562853
2026-01-04 0.061632 1.527397e-01 0.304158 0.547880 0.904835 1.384397 2.052249
2026-01-11 0.026871 1.004810e-01 0.250540 0.524689 0.962855 1.589363 2.504483
2026-01-18 0.010559 6.687693e-02 0.210857 0.508383 1.022548 1.797455 2.973985
2026-01-25 0.003903 4.733972e-02 0.187413 0.510919 1.107781 2.045926 3.513509
2026-02-01 0.000817 2.997406e-02 0.156842 0.489173 1.146053 2.223209 3.958303
2026-02-08 0.000169 2.303630e-02 0.149608 0.512461 1.263681 2.529824 4.607487
2026-02-15 0.000004 1.580314e-02 0.134736 0.513506 1.338831 2.771385 5.168351
2026-02-22 NaN 1.342586e-02 0.136738 0.555383 1.495094 3.153594 5.958936
2026-03-01 NaN 1.042401e-02 0.132722 0.580402 1.619771 3.488531 6.687599
2026-03-08 NaN 7.167954e-03 0.122622 0.585815 1.704400 3.758691 7.323158
2026-03-15 NaN 4.153179e-03 0.107695 0.573777 1.753598 3.974571 7.888467
2026-03-22 NaN 2.685538e-03 0.100838 0.584356 1.852176 4.282272 8.612797
2026-03-29 NaN 1.515240e-03 0.091934 0.585107 1.928573 4.553502 9.286393
2026-04-05 NaN 5.929717e-04 0.078367 0.563835 1.951727 4.728400 9.806900
2026-04-12 NaN 1.856582e-04 0.067662 0.548200 1.985222 4.922665 10.364379
2026-04-19 NaN 5.776524e-05 0.062201 0.551662 2.064711 5.205917 11.078459
2026-04-26 NaN 2.506353e-06 0.052084 0.529089 2.076121 5.359258 11.576102
2026-05-03 NaN 1.830536e-07 0.051810 0.553905 2.211111 5.755944 12.498941
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.047318 0.555116 2.284166 6.034264 13.224511
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.050512 0.599393 2.475392 6.550970 14.372680
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.050506 0.625819 2.620162 6.979811 15.376267